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The Metaverse and NFT Hype: Are We Witnessing a Downturn?

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Chapter 1: The Digital Landscape Transformation

Over a year ago, the digital realm was revolutionized when Beeple’s ‘Everydays — The First 5000 Days’ sold for an astounding $69,346,250 at auction. While digital art itself was not entirely new, it faced challenges in establishing ownership and value due to the ease of duplication. However, the emergence of NFTs and blockchain technology allowed artists and collectors to authenticate ownership, meaning that despite countless copies, only one true owner exists.

This landmark sale served as a definitive proof of concept — demonstrating that people were willing to invest significantly in digital assets, thus igniting a frenzy around NFTs. Prominent among these were JPEG images used as social media avatars, with the Bored Ape Yacht Club turning its tokens into exclusive membership cards, leading to sales exceeding $3 million for some. Other projects, such as Crypto Punks, also enjoyed immense success, with individual items selling for upwards of $20 million. Yet, many projects fell flat, overshadowed by the celebrity endorsements and hype from entrepreneurs like Gary Vaynerchuk, who touted the community aspect while chasing profits.

In parallel with the NFT surge, the Metaverse emerged as a digital playground for utilizing these assets, featuring avatar skins and exclusive online communities. Mark Zuckerberg seized this opportunity, rebranding Facebook to Meta and declaring that the Metaverse would play a pivotal role in the next stage of internet evolution. Meta disclosed a staggering $10 billion investment in this vision, with expectations of further expenditure. Following Beeple’s lead, other companies rushed to join the fray, with McDonald's exploring virtual dining and Google reviving its Glass project for potential Metaverse applications.

The first video titled "What Is The Future Of NFTs? | NFTs Boom Or Bust? | Will NFTs Take Over The World?" dives into the sustainability and future of NFTs, discussing whether they are a lasting investment or a fleeting trend.

Chapter 2: Signs of Decline in the Digital Market

However, a year into this digital experiment, the anticipated future is not unfolding as expected. Since January 2022, interest in both NFTs and the Metaverse has plummeted, signaling a potential crash. The NFT market, once boasting nearly 800,000 monthly buyers, has seen average prices plummet from $6,800 to around $2,000. The number of secondary sales has also diminished, dropping from a peak of 38,000 daily to just 7,900. Consequently, the market cap has shrunk from $23 billion to approximately $10 billion, a significant loss of over 50%. A glance at Google Trends reveals a staggering 60-70% decline in global searches for the term ‘NFT’ since the beginning of 2022.

NFT market decline trend

Similarly, interest in the Metaverse has also waned. After a surge in popularity following Facebook’s rebranding, search interest has plummeted, leading some skeptics to suggest it was a calculated distraction from Facebook's ongoing controversies.

Metaverse trend decline

External factors have undoubtedly contributed to this downturn. The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has shifted public focus and resources, overshadowing the initial excitement surrounding NFTs and the Metaverse.

Additionally, regulatory scrutiny has intensified, with governments increasingly concerned about issues like money laundering and tax evasion. This scrutiny, coupled with a rise in scams within the NFT community, has further eroded trust. Monthly reports of fraudulent activities, such as the “Evolved Apes” scam that cost investors nearly $3 million, have become common enough for platforms like Gizmodo to track them.

Despite the hype, companies and creators have struggled to present viable use-cases for NFTs and the Metaverse. The public is beginning to recognize the inflated promises surrounding these technologies. For instance, JP Morgan's attempt to position itself as the first Metaverse bank and brands like Pepsi and Taco Bell offering NFT tokens seem driven more by trend than necessity. Even Twitter’s NFT verification feature appears to offer little real value, transforming profile pictures into hexagons for seemingly arbitrary reasons.

As we ponder the future of the internet and digital connectivity, a pressing question remains: Are we witnessing a mere fluctuation akin to Bitcoin's volatility, or is this the bursting of a speculative bubble? Although these technologies may eventually find their footing, currently, they seem to represent an extravagant misallocation of resources within a capitalist framework. Amanda Yeo’s words from a pre-Beeple Mashable article resonate strongly: “We don’t need NFTs. We don’t benefit from NFTs. The only anemic value gained upon purchasing an NFT is the ability to truthfully say, ‘I own this NFT’ — a sentiment so trivial it’s almost comical.”

The second video titled "Meta Market! What Comes After the Crypto Winter and NFT Boom?" explores what the future holds for the Metaverse and NFTs after this apparent downturn, discussing potential recovery strategies and innovations.

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