Extinction Insights from the Dinosaurs: Lessons for Humanity
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Chapter 1: The Resilience of Dinosaurs
The dinosaurs experienced extreme climate shifts far worse than what we currently face, with conditions so severe they could be likened to being engulfed in flames. Despite this, they managed to endure, shrinking in size but continuing to exist. Over the millennia, they even flourished once again as 'terror birds.' As noted by Riley Black in her book The Last Days of the Dinosaurs, there are critical lessons we can glean from their 'demise' as we confront our own existential threats. Here, I will discuss two key lessons: the possibility of avoiding extinction and the importance of scaling back our ambitions.
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Section 1.1: Extinction is Not Inevitable
The first takeaway is that dinosaurs did not entirely vanish. This has been a topic of much debate, but it is now largely accepted that birds are descendants of dinosaurs, making them survivors, not extinct. As Black observes, "Birds were not merely waiting for their moment when the asteroid hit; they were integral to the diverse lineage of dinosaurs, with roots deeply embedded in the Jurassic era."
What did go extinct were the massive dinosaurs, which faced a series of catastrophic events: being burned, frozen, or even having their remains dissolved by acidic rain. Their environment was violently transformed, making survival a miracle. Following the impact, if one was not directly hit or swept away by tsunamis, the atmosphere became a scorching furnace, with temperatures soaring to 260℃. This stark contrast makes today's climate concerns seem relatively minor. The ensuing debris blocked sunlight, leading to a drastic temperature drop of 60℃, resulting in a near-total collapse of the food chain.
Only a select few species managed to withstand the immediate heat, and an even smaller number survived the subsequent cold. The large dinosaurs had simply reached a dead end. However, 'large' does not equate to 'dinosaur.' Birds, having evolved from their dinosaur ancestors, emerged from this turmoil and ultimately thrived. Black eloquently states, "the meek inherit the Earth — and they had done so four times before." This group included not only our small mammal ancestors but also smaller dinosaurs. Black notes, "No dinosaur larger than a raven survived the extreme conditions following the impact." Yet, survive they did.
Even when faced with the catastrophic impact of an asteroid, many dinosaurs continued to exist, outpacing mammals in species diversity over time. The remnants of the great lizard lineage are still present today, albeit in a different form. As Black describes, the age of giants has passed; what remains of this legacy is a small, ground-dwelling bird adapted for survival without an understanding of what saved it or what would allow its descendants to thrive in the future.
The crucial takeaway is that extinction is not an unavoidable fate. In fact, it appears increasingly improbable. Current climate shifts represent a mere fraction of the drastic changes that the dinosaurs faced, and we have the luxury of time to adapt, unlike the dinosaurs who had mere hours to respond. Black points out, "To date, there is no solid evidence indicating that any non-avian dinosaurs survived for more than a few hours into the Paleocene." Humans, in contrast, have more time to adjust and face less extreme changes.
Section 1.2: The Illusion of Separation
I am referring to humans as animals, which differs from how many view the concept of extinction. For most, merely surviving would be a setback; it would feel like regressing to a primitive state. 'Civilized' humans distanced themselves from the animal kingdom long ago and are now bewildered by the consequences of that separation—namely, the ongoing mass extinction.
Humans often overlook the fundamental truth that we are part of the animal kingdom, and in harming our environment, we ultimately harm ourselves. As articulated in the Burna Boy song, "Apart, when I couldn't see, I was cheating on, cheating on me." Questioning whether we can maintain our civilization is akin to inviting disaster. We must abandon the notion that we can continue our luxurious lifestyles while facing an impending crisis.
Even now, as we hurtle toward catastrophe, we cling to our material possessions, desperately trying to navigate an emergency with our high heels intact. This mentality hinders our chances for survival. Most are unable to comprehend that we are fortunate to escape with our lives, and thus, we continue to exacerbate our situation until it's too late. While many may not perish, for numerous individuals, everything will be lost.
Human civilization is a construct built on a specific climate and energy framework. When energy resources dwindle and climate conditions shift, Homo sapiens will likely endure but in drastically diminished circumstances. This is the primary lesson from the dinosaurs: they still exist, but in forms so altered that we hardly recognize them.
As Black points out, "There will never be creatures as large and prolific as the non-avian dinosaurs again." Similarly, I don't believe there will ever be a civilization like ours, with vast, interconnected nations and corporations. The colossal dinosaurs fell victim to their extinction events, and we face our own extinction event where grand dreams are destined to crumble. The dinosaurs were unfortunate, but in our case, we are the asteroid.
Chapter 2: The Survivors of Catastrophe
The first video, titled "How Dinosaurs Became Extinct," explores the various factors that led to the demise of these magnificent creatures, shedding light on the lessons we can learn from their extinction.
The second video, "Extinction for Kids | Learn Why Some Animals and Plants No Longer Exist," provides an accessible explanation of extinction, making it clear why understanding this concept is vital for future generations.
Section 2.1: The Meek and the Mighty
The creatures that survived the K-Pg event were remarkably unassuming. These small, ground-dwelling animals were adept at living off minimal resources, often scavenging for food and capable of enduring long periods with little sustenance. In contrast, the high-energy, high-consumption dinosaurs perished. The downsizing began at the base of the food chain and gradually worked its way up.
As Black notes about plants, "The species most likely to survive are those that adapted to low-light environments, often overshadowed by taller trees of the Cretaceous or those fortunate enough to thrive on limited resources." Smaller plants led to the emergence of smaller herbivores and carnivores, particularly omnivores that could consume whatever was available. The larger species were gone, and ambitions needed to be scaled back.
After the heat, fires, and loss of sunlight, seeds became one of the few accessible sources of nutrition. Beaked birds, or those able to process tough foods, thrived by relying on the vast seed bank left by the charred forests. Each seed symbolizes a potential opportunity, embodying hope that persists through adversity.
Black also draws parallels between the resourceful oviraptorosaurs and the more gluttonous T-Rex:
"The ancestors of beaked birds and some non-avian dinosaurs, like the parrot-like oviraptorosaurs, developed gizzards, allowing them to consume small prey such as insects, lizards, and plants without the need for teeth. They could focus on scavenging smaller food items, rapidly obtaining nutrition. In contrast, larger predators like T-Rex were inefficient eaters, requiring greater quantities of food to sustain themselves."
Following the asteroid impact, inefficient species like T-Rex could not endure the lack of resources, while efficient scavengers like birds thrived. This serves as a stark reminder for our modern society.
Today, American food systems require ten kilocalories of energy to produce every calorie consumed. Globally, the so-called green revolution relies heavily on fossil fuels for fertilizers and industrial farming, resulting in widespread waste. Our food systems often mirror the inefficient consumption of T-Rex. This unsustainable model cannot endure in a resource-scarce environment, much like the dinosaurs' fate.
Black asserts, "The dinosaurs were diverse, active, and perpetually hungry. Under the weight of catastrophe, only small, feathered creatures remained, foraging for seeds and insects." The same fate awaits today's overly ambitious, fast-paced culture. Ultimately, all that will remain of the wealthy elite will be "bones and ash," as Black predicts, "Life will revert to a smaller scale, inhabited by species that can endure."
The relentless innovation of recent centuries has consumed a finite inheritance of fossil fuels. We are akin to trust fund beneficiaries masquerading as entrepreneurs. The latest trend of 'renewable' energy is inherently dependent on fossil fuels and is not truly sustainable. Transitioning to alternative resources like copper or lithium will only extend our current paradigm for a century or two, barely a blip in geological terms.
The truth is that the asteroid of our hubris has already struck, and the T-Rexes of capital are facing extinction. As Black states, "Extinction does not equate to the death of the last member of a species." Functional extinction occurs when a species cannot sustain a breeding population, and both people and capital will struggle to reproduce without their fossil fuel subsidies. As Riley asserts, "Large entities require substantial resources," and as our circumstances shrink, so too will the size of our societal structures. Many current empires, nations, and corporations are akin to the dinosaurs of old—walking corpses that remain unaware of their impending demise.
Section 2.2: Lessons for a Sustainable Future
The overarching lesson from the dinosaurs is that less often means more during crises. Evolution is rife with examples of creatures expanding in size and ambition in response to favorable conditions, only to face obliteration as those conditions change. Our current climate change is neither the first nor the most severe instance in Earth's history.
Humans have constructed an intricate system known as 'the economy' based on specific climatic and energetic conditions. We have created our own versions of dinosaurs, and now these corporate entities exist in a state that is not merely metaphorical but genuinely alive. However, as the climate shifts, these colossal creations must face extinction.
For centuries, humans have clung to the notion of 'progress,' failing to recognize its irrelevance in geological time. The concept of 'progress' is absent in evolution; rather, it is about adapting to constantly changing environments. Black emphasizes, "If there is one clear message from the fossil record, it is that no species is guaranteed." She continues, "There is no victory in this forest. When a global catastrophe concludes one evolutionary chapter, another begins, with no assurance of who will prevail."
Human progress is not guaranteed, nor is our dominion over this planet. The evidence suggests that it may not even be desirable. Every creature that once 'ruled' the Earth has ultimately succumbed and had to rebuild. This cycle is not new, as the surviving dinosaurs could attest. While humanity may be fortunate enough to endure this impending cataclysm, our arrogance is destined for destruction.